Google Search (also known simply as Google or google.com) is a search engine operated by Google. In September 2024, Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) provisionally found that Google engaged in anti-competitive practices in the online advertising technology market, potentially harming thousands of UK publishers and advertisers. The DoJ also sought a ban on Google re-entering the browser market for five years and restrictions on its investments in rival search or AI technologies. On October 8, 2024, The U.S. government suggested it could request Google to divest parts of its business, such as the Chrome browser and Android, due to its alleged monopoly in online search. In August 2024, District of Columbia U.S. District Court Judge Amit Mehta ruled that Google held a monopoly in online search and text advertising in violation of Section 2 of the Sherman Antitrust Act.
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Consumer credit growth has moderated slightly and is now in line with its pre-pandemic average. Ratio of aggregate broad money to nominal GDP and sectoral broad money flows (a) (b) The strength appears to have been temporary, however, with household money flows close to their 2012–19 average in December. Within the sectoral breakdown, flows into household broad money were notably strong in October 2024 at around £20 billion (right panel of Chart 2.10). The ratio of aggregate money to GDP has returned to close to its pre-pandemic trend (left panel of Chart 2.10).
Chart 2.21: Underlying services inflation measures have continued to moderate
Quarterly growth rates are similar to in November beyond the start of this year, however. GDP growth in 2025 is much weaker than in the November Report, reflecting recent data developments. Four-quarter GDP growth is projected to pick up from the middle of this year, to over 1½% by the end of the forecast period (Chart 1.2). There could, however, be a downside risk to future potential productivity growth if there are further downward revisions to past trends in productivity, as is suggested by the latest population data that have not yet been incorporated into the LFS. Potential productivity recovers some of its recent weakness and settles at annual growth rates of around ¾%. Within that, and reflecting the latest interim national population projections, potential labour supply growth is around ¾% per annum in the medium term.
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As noted in Section 2.5, CPI inflation is expected to rise quite sharply this year, accounted for predominantly by further rises in energy prices alongside a number of other regulatory changes. The median respondent in the January Market Participants Survey expected CPI inflation of around 2.5% one year ahead, up slightly from 2.4% in December. Some market contacts partly attributed the decline to reduced concerns around inflation persistence and the perceived restrictiveness of monetary policy. A measure of medium-term inflation compensation in financial markets has trended downwards over the course of 2024 (Chart 2.28).
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More broadly, during 2024 payrolled employment has been supported by strong growth in the public sector while private sector payrolls have been declining. The latest LFS data suggest that employment grew by 0.1% in the three months to November, down from quarterly growth of around 1% in the summer of 2024. Staff judge that underlying employment growth has been stable at around 0.2% over much of 2024 (Chart 2.14), although recent data point to a slowing in the pace of growth towards the end of the year. Employment growth appears to have softened in recent months and there are downside risks in the near term.
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Services inflation is expected to rise again in the near term, however, driven mainly by one-off or volatile factors. Core goods and food price inflation are expected to rise somewhat further above their pre-Covid averages in the near term (Chart 2.20). Alongside that, the rate of annual food and non-alcoholic beverage inflation was 2.0% in December, around 1 percentage point higher than expected in the November Report projection.